Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.200971 0.234291 0.270812 0.313730 0.362698 0.416739 0.480804
2025-11-23 0.138908 0.182372 0.235167 0.303619 0.389582 0.493480 0.628031
2025-11-30 0.115240 0.165108 0.230379 0.321162 0.443098 0.600007 0.815772
2025-12-07 0.090969 0.140636 0.209972 0.312349 0.457847 0.655055 0.939896
2025-12-14 0.073218 0.121208 0.192168 0.302611 0.467486 0.701184 1.053188
2025-12-21 0.060496 0.106636 0.178527 0.295857 0.478866 0.748722 1.170392
2025-12-28 0.053012 0.098855 0.173690 0.301051 0.507463 0.822428 1.330385
2026-01-04 0.047826 0.093922 0.172446 0.311250 0.544090 0.910397 1.517931
2026-01-11 0.042812 0.088387 0.169264 0.317489 0.574360 0.990225 1.698223
2026-01-18 0.038040 0.082463 0.164486 0.320135 0.598393 1.061317 1.869134
2026-01-25 0.033675 0.076568 0.158882 0.320417 0.617938 1.125910 2.033326
2026-02-01 0.029479 0.070297 0.151681 0.316759 0.629797 1.177906 2.179435
2026-02-08 0.025630 0.064198 0.144175 0.311959 0.639659 1.228182 2.328215
2026-02-15 0.021719 0.057278 0.134093 0.300953 0.636873 1.255983 2.440138
2026-02-22 0.020790 0.057057 0.137907 0.318268 0.689821 1.388128 2.747098
2026-03-01 0.017900 0.051595 0.129655 0.309519 0.690495 1.423548 2.880027
2026-03-08 0.015360 0.046506 0.121482 0.299860 0.688161 1.452689 3.002693
2026-03-15 0.013363 0.042433 0.115043 0.293163 0.691108 1.491848 3.146431
2026-03-22 0.012294 0.040690 0.113912 0.298313 0.719528 1.582889 3.395795
2026-03-29 0.011590 0.039850 0.114883 0.308429 0.759522 1.699688 3.702695
2026-04-05 0.010751 0.038453 0.114249 0.314617 0.791278 1.801699 3.986164
2026-04-12 0.009834 0.036634 0.112260 0.317241 0.815133 1.888790 4.244525
2026-04-19 0.008919 0.034628 0.109475 0.317521 0.833503 1.965349 4.485526